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Determinants of sovereign credit ratings in emerging markets.

Osobajo, Oluyomi A.; Akintunde, Adeola E.


Adeola E. Akintunde


This study critically investigates the determinants of sovereign credit ratings in emerging markets, during 2001 to 2015. This was conducted in 20 emerging markets, using S&P and Moody ratings. Linear framework econometric approach with the use of pooled Ordinary Least Square regression method was adopted in the study. The explanatory power of the estimated models has a good performance across both rating agencies. The study reveals the importance of five macroeconomic variables in determining the sovereign credit rating of emerging markets. These variables are: gross domestic product per capital, inflation, government debt, reserves, and external debt. Also, world governance indicators, a proxy for qualitative/political variables, were found to be an essential determinant of rating.


OSOBAJO, O.A. and AKINTUNDE, A.E. 2019. Determinants of sovereign credit ratings in emerging markets. International business research [online], 12(5), pages 142-166. Available from:

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Apr 18, 2019
Online Publication Date Apr 26, 2019
Publication Date May 31, 2019
Deposit Date Sep 12, 2019
Publicly Available Date Sep 12, 2019
Journal International Business Research
Print ISSN 1913-9004
Electronic ISSN 1913-9012
Publisher Canadian Center of Science and Education
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 12
Issue 5
Pages 142-166
Keywords Sovereign credit rating; Credit rating; Credit rating agency; Emerging market
Public URL


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